Autopilot Midday — 2026-10-02 13:17 ET (Fri)
Cron autopilot_midday scheduled 12:47 ET, ran 13:17 (30 min late). HPE Harvest Level 2 ratchet $62→$64 (breakeven) on 1R hit. HOLD on new BUYs — tape giving back AM gains.
Portfolio
- Equity: $30,413.54 (+$155.74 / +0.51% GREEN vs Thu close; -$5 vs AM $30,419)
- Cash: $21,136.06 (69.5%)
- Long value: $9,277.48 (30.5%)
- Trades today: 1 AM (AVGO 3sh @ $353.38); 1/4 slots used
- Session spend: $1,060 / $5K cap ($3,940 room)
Harvest Level 2 ratchet: HPE $62 → $64 GTC
HPE at $69.77 = basis $64 + $5.77 = 1.05R (R = $5.50 initial risk). 1R threshold HIT per Harvest discipline. Level 2 ratchet locks breakeven floor.
- Order 4aea44d5 replaced f2f18fe8 (stop $62 → $64 GTC)
- Max loss if gap-down: $0 vs $-28 at $62 vs $-77 at $58.50
- 8.3% volatility room ($69.77 → $64)
- Day 3 catalyst continuation (intraday high $70.17, +8.86% day)
Per ratchets_regime_change memory: Level 1 at 0.77R + Level 2 at 1.05R = 2 of 3-4 levels. Reserve Levels 3-4 ($65 / $66) for close if HPE pushes $71+.
Position state midday
| Ticker | Qty | Basis | Current | Day% | Stop | Cushion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA ✅ | 15 | $229 | $234.95 | +1.77% | $205 GTC | 12.7% |
| AVGO 🆕 | 3 | $353.38 | $353.48 | +2.86% | $333 GTC | 5.80% |
| HPE 🔥 | 14 | $64 | $69.77 | +8.04% | $64 Level 2 | 8.3% |
| REGN | 2 | $737.32 | $735.83 | +0.14% | $700 GTC | 4.9% ⚠️ |
| SYM | 15 | $41 | $43.93 | +1.76% | $35 GTC | 20.3% |
| SYY ⚠️⚠️ | 5 | $73.21 | $77.94 | +0.22% | $75 GTC | 3.3% |
| UNH | 0.52 | $290 | $368.54 | +0.92% | frac | n/a |
| DLR ⚠️ | 4 | $198.87 | $177.86 | +0.78% | $167.78 GTC | 5.7% |
Tape giving back AM highs
| Index | AM 10:02 | Mid 13:17 | AM→Mid |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $770.41 | $769.48 | -0.12% |
| QQQ | $752.33 | $749.54 | -0.37% |
| SMH | $635.09 | $631.46 | -0.57% |
Interpretation: Jobs-29K dovish sold-the-news post-open; AI leadership rotating to safety; semi dropped from +2.79% to +2.20%. HPE outperforming SMH on independent catalyst.
Phase 0.5 Mercury 4h stack (mid-session new)
- NVDA “undemanding valuation” top chip pick re-rate (09:52) — valuation-based
- MU/storage BEAR tape on Toshiba 2x (09:53) — contradicts AM Samsung HBM 3x bull
- SNDK +700% YTD NAND squeeze (09:55)
- G7 oil release 50M→100M bbl (10:26) — DOUBLES AM alert
- ON WF OW PT $85→$100 (10:38) — +17.6% target raise
- EW FDA pediatric heart valve first-in-class (10:46)
- PFE Phase 3 LITFULO vitiligo + FDA/EMA filing (11:18) — derm 6-company
- CoreWeave Vera Rubin launch (11:00) — NVDA next-gen GPU
- TSLA Q3 EU delivery beat (11:25)
- RKLB 20-launch + 47 total (12:03)
- BMS Camzyos FDA label expansion
- META Muse 5.6M downloads outpaces ChatGPT (11:57)
- Anthropic $100M/10K engineers talent (13:07) — AVGO ecosystem
No new pipeline — tape rotation + chase risk
Reasons:
- Tape rotation out of AI — SMH/QQQ/NVDA giving back AM highs; chase risk elevated
- ARM +6.44% ripped — chase pattern
- MU catalyst-tape divergence persists (bear tape on Toshiba 2x contradicts AM Samsung HBM 3x bull); -1.51% intraday despite 14-signal stack
- AMD fading from +3.97% to +2.42% — no clean entry
- SNPS mid-session rebound to $485 (still above $470 pipeline threshold)
- AVGO fresh entry — digest fade unresolved
- Session cap discipline — 1/4 used, preserve for close setup
- Cash 69.5% comfortable dry powder
Watch for close (15:53 ET)
- HPE Level 3 ratchet — if $71+ (1.3R), consider stop $64→$65
- HPE Level 4 ratchet / Harvest trim — if $72-$73+ (1.5-1.6R)
- AVGO continuation — ratchet stop $333→$340 if $360+
- SNPS pullback entry — if closes near $470
- MU catalyst-tape resolution — reversal = contrarian pipeline
- SYY cushion — ratchet or accept if drops below 2.5%
- REGN digestion — Jefferies $930 PT + 5% cushion
- CEG recovery — mild rebound in progress
- Tape rotation — if continues fading, defensive; if re-energizes, add consideration
- Session cap: 1/4 Fri + $3,940 room (3 more pipelines possible)
Cron/session
- 11/11 jobs healthy; renewal 8:33 OK
- autopilot_midday MISSED 12:47 → ran 13:17 (30 min late)
- WhatsApp MCP still DOWN
- All GTC stops verified (NVDA $205, AVGO $333, HPE $64 Level 2, REGN $700, SYM $35, DLR $167.78, SYY $75)