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Autopilot Midday — 2026-10-02 13:17 ET (Fri)

Cron autopilot_midday scheduled 12:47 ET, ran 13:17 (30 min late). HPE Harvest Level 2 ratchet $62→$64 (breakeven) on 1R hit. HOLD on new BUYs — tape giving back AM gains.

Portfolio

Harvest Level 2 ratchet: HPE $62 → $64 GTC

HPE at $69.77 = basis $64 + $5.77 = 1.05R (R = $5.50 initial risk). 1R threshold HIT per Harvest discipline. Level 2 ratchet locks breakeven floor.

Per ratchets_regime_change memory: Level 1 at 0.77R + Level 2 at 1.05R = 2 of 3-4 levels. Reserve Levels 3-4 ($65 / $66) for close if HPE pushes $71+.

Position state midday

Ticker Qty Basis Current Day% Stop Cushion
NVDA ✅ 15 $229 $234.95 +1.77% $205 GTC 12.7%
AVGO 🆕 3 $353.38 $353.48 +2.86% $333 GTC 5.80%
HPE 🔥 14 $64 $69.77 +8.04% $64 Level 2 8.3%
REGN 2 $737.32 $735.83 +0.14% $700 GTC 4.9% ⚠️
SYM 15 $41 $43.93 +1.76% $35 GTC 20.3%
SYY ⚠️⚠️ 5 $73.21 $77.94 +0.22% $75 GTC 3.3%
UNH 0.52 $290 $368.54 +0.92% frac n/a
DLR ⚠️ 4 $198.87 $177.86 +0.78% $167.78 GTC 5.7%

Tape giving back AM highs

Index AM 10:02 Mid 13:17 AM→Mid
SPY $770.41 $769.48 -0.12%
QQQ $752.33 $749.54 -0.37%
SMH $635.09 $631.46 -0.57%

Interpretation: Jobs-29K dovish sold-the-news post-open; AI leadership rotating to safety; semi dropped from +2.79% to +2.20%. HPE outperforming SMH on independent catalyst.

Phase 0.5 Mercury 4h stack (mid-session new)

  1. NVDA “undemanding valuation” top chip pick re-rate (09:52) — valuation-based
  2. MU/storage BEAR tape on Toshiba 2x (09:53) — contradicts AM Samsung HBM 3x bull
  3. SNDK +700% YTD NAND squeeze (09:55)
  4. G7 oil release 50M→100M bbl (10:26) — DOUBLES AM alert
  5. ON WF OW PT $85→$100 (10:38) — +17.6% target raise
  6. EW FDA pediatric heart valve first-in-class (10:46)
  7. PFE Phase 3 LITFULO vitiligo + FDA/EMA filing (11:18) — derm 6-company
  8. CoreWeave Vera Rubin launch (11:00) — NVDA next-gen GPU
  9. TSLA Q3 EU delivery beat (11:25)
  10. RKLB 20-launch + 47 total (12:03)
  11. BMS Camzyos FDA label expansion
  12. META Muse 5.6M downloads outpaces ChatGPT (11:57)
  13. Anthropic $100M/10K engineers talent (13:07) — AVGO ecosystem

No new pipeline — tape rotation + chase risk

Reasons:

  1. Tape rotation out of AI — SMH/QQQ/NVDA giving back AM highs; chase risk elevated
  2. ARM +6.44% ripped — chase pattern
  3. MU catalyst-tape divergence persists (bear tape on Toshiba 2x contradicts AM Samsung HBM 3x bull); -1.51% intraday despite 14-signal stack
  4. AMD fading from +3.97% to +2.42% — no clean entry
  5. SNPS mid-session rebound to $485 (still above $470 pipeline threshold)
  6. AVGO fresh entry — digest fade unresolved
  7. Session cap discipline — 1/4 used, preserve for close setup
  8. Cash 69.5% comfortable dry powder

Watch for close (15:53 ET)

  1. HPE Level 3 ratchet — if $71+ (1.3R), consider stop $64→$65
  2. HPE Level 4 ratchet / Harvest trim — if $72-$73+ (1.5-1.6R)
  3. AVGO continuation — ratchet stop $333→$340 if $360+
  4. SNPS pullback entry — if closes near $470
  5. MU catalyst-tape resolution — reversal = contrarian pipeline
  6. SYY cushion — ratchet or accept if drops below 2.5%
  7. REGN digestion — Jefferies $930 PT + 5% cushion
  8. CEG recovery — mild rebound in progress
  9. Tape rotation — if continues fading, defensive; if re-energizes, add consideration
  10. Session cap: 1/4 Fri + $3,940 room (3 more pipelines possible)

Cron/session