Watchlist — End of Day 2026-04-24
Updated by eod_summary cron. 🎯 Day 2 of sleeve infrastructure: portfolio +$3,524 / +16.3% over 2 days.
Current positions (post-close, 14 entries)
| Ticker | Qty | Avg Entry | Close | P&L $ | P&L % | Stop | Sleeve | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC 🚨 | 14 | $66.94 | $82.58 | +$219 | +23.4% | $79.50 ✓ (TIGHTENED on CAO red flag) | semi_ai | Trimmed 5 sh @ $83.00 = $401.57 realized; CAO Gawel resigned EOD = bear-pattern signal |
| NVDA | 12 | $177.28 | $208.06 | +$369 | +17.4% | $185 ✓ | semi_ai | Anthropic-Google $10B read-through bull; past Harvest +15% trim window |
| CEG | 7 | $280.00 | $313.50 | +$235 | +12.0% | $280 ✓ (trailed today from $255) | — | Nuclear-AI thesis accelerating; +1R breakeven-lock done |
| BA | 9 | $222.99 | $232.47 | +$85 | +4.2% | $223 ✓ (trailed today from $205) | — | Breakeven-lock done; thesis intact |
| MRVL 🆕 | 9 | $159.54 | $164.02 | +$40 | +2.8% | $145 (PDT pending Monday) | semi_ai | First sleeve-routed score-96 catalyst capture |
| LRCX | 4 | $267.37 | $269.49 | +$8 | +0.8% | $246 ✓ | semi_ai | Quiet day |
| MRK | 18 | $112.47 | $111.90 | -$10 | -0.5% | $103.50 ✓ | — | -2.4% intraday on REGN MFN precedent risk |
| CVS | 27 | $75.83 | $77.94 | +$57 | +2.8% | $72.08 ✓ | — | Aetna 88% prior-auth leadership (today’s catalyst) |
| BLK | 2 | $1,057.92 | $1,046.55 | -$23 | -1.1% | $990 ✓ | — | Modest pullback |
| CCI | 20 | $84.31 | $86.34 | +$41 | +2.4% | $80 ✓ | — | Stable |
| NKE | 44 | $45.29 | $44.76 | -$23 | -1.2% | $42.50 ✓ | — | LULU pressure persistent |
| UNH | 0.69 | $290.00 | $354.45 | +$44 | +22.2% | — | — | Tiny but cumulative bull thesis strong |
| BTC | 0.0034 | $70,867 | $77,708 | +$24 | +9.7% | — | — | ETF +$2.1B 8-day inflow signal |
| 737CVR019 | 4.06 | $0 | — | — | — | — | — | Corporate action shares |
| **Aggregate: portfolio $25,105 | cash $4,191 (16.7%) | day P&L +2.04%, +$502 unrealized + $401.57 realized = +$903 total | total open unrealized +$1,067** |
Today’s Trades (2/2 daily cap used)
- MRVL BUY 9 sh @ $159.535 limit (filled $159.535) —
2c64fd81— Sleeve catalyst-buy: triple analyst upgrade + Google partnership validation - INTC TRIM 5 sh @ $83 limit (filled $83.0034) —
3cb4e891— Harvest +15-25% trim window; locked +$401.57 realized - Stop modifications (no daily-cap impact):
- LRCX stop $246 placed (PDT-deferred from Apr 23)
- INTC stop $70 → $77 (intraday on Harvest trim) → $79.50 (EOD on CAO red flag)
- BA stop $205 → $215 → $223 (breakeven-lock)
- CEG stop $255 → $280 (breakeven-lock)
🚨 INTC RED FLAG — Monday URGENT
16:19 ET: Intel Chief Accounting Officer Scott Gawel resigned on the SAME DAY as the +29× EPS Q1 beat. CFO David Zinsner taking over Principal Accounting Officer role on interim basis. After-hours bid dropped to $78.10 (-5.4% from $82.58 close).
Bear-pattern stack today:
- 12:11 ET — analysts remain bearish on margins despite Q1 beat
- 16:19 ET — CAO resigns
- AH bid -5.4% from close
Stop tightened tonight to $79.50 as defensive measure. Monday morning agent debate will determine: full exit OR extend stop higher OR hold based on weekend news context.
Sleeve State (post-EOD)
semi_ai: regime=HOT (auto, 6+ qualifying alerts ≥70 in 7d window)
target=$6,276 (25% of $25,105)
current_fill=$6,209 (98.9%) — AT TARGET
members held: NVDA ($2,497, 9.9%), LRCX ($1,078, 4.3%), INTC ($1,156, 4.6%), MRVL ($1,476, 5.9%)
dry_powder=$67
priority_queue=ON (capacity nearly fully deployed)
cash_flex_available=YES (not invoked today)
Day 2 Sleeve P&L: INTC realized +$401 + INTC unrealized +$219 + NVDA unrealized intraday +$101 + LRCX +$44 + MRVL +$40 = +$805 sleeve contribution today
Cumulative sleeve P&L (Day 1 + Day 2):
- INTC: +$401 realized + $219 unrealized = $620
- NVDA: +$369 unrealized
- LRCX: +$8 unrealized
- MRVL: +$40 unrealized (Day 1)
- Total sleeve P&L: +$1,037 over 2 days
Today’s Mercury Alert Summary (~30 alerts processed)
🎯 Tier-1 catalysts (score ≥85)
- GOOG $10B-$40B Anthropic at $350B val — category-defining AI capex
- AMD DA Davidson PT $220→$375 (+70%) — semi_ai sleeve cascade
- MRVL triple analyst upgrade + Google partnership — score-96 catalyst materializing
- TXN 17 PT hikes + data center +90% — 4th wave catalyst stack
- AVGO Google infrastructure deal — sleeve cohort expansion
- 🚨 INTC CAO RED FLAG — Monday-priority risk signal
Tier-2 (score 70-84)
- MSFT GPU hoarding (NVDA bull read-through)
- META/AMZN Graviton (NVDA bear read-through)
- HIMS BofA + JPM dual upgrade
- LMT F-35 fleet boost (Peru F-16 + 38→48 jets/yr)
- CLS Sovereign AI partnership (new theme)
- CVS Aetna 88% prior-auth (held bull)
- UNH prior-auth reform (held bull)
- REGN 4 catalysts week (FDA hearing-loss + MFN deal)
- SNY EMA tolebrutinib SPMS approval
- OGN $13B Sun Pharma takeover
- BKR Q1 beat (OFS cluster)
- BTC ETF +$2.1B 8-day inflow
Tier-3 (score 55-69)
- CHTR Q1 miss + customer exodus
- CMCSA cable sympathy
- AXP beat-punished maintained-guide
- ABBV FDA CRL
- SLB Middle East Q1 mixed
- JNJ TrumpRx 4-drug launch
Bear narrative themes
- Pharma government-relations: REGN MFN + JNJ TrumpRx → MRK HELD watch
- Beat-punished cohort widening: NOC/GE/RTX/IBM/CME/VRT/BSX/TMO/FCX/LVS/DOW/CHTR/AXP
- Cable subsector bear: CHTR/CMCSA
- Kelp DAO $294M hack → $15B DeFi withdrawal (BTC tangential)
Macro
- Nasdaq +18% 4-week rally = best since April 2020 COVID (mean-reversion risk)
- SOXX 17-day record win streak (semi-extreme momentum)
- INTC “best month ever” (extreme single-stock move)
- US-Iran Pakistan diplomatic talks → Brent $95 partial reversal
Monday (2026-04-27) Priority Stack
URGENT — first morning action
- 🚨 INTC Reaper full agent debate — full exit / extend stop / hold based on weekend CAO follow-up news
- Place MRVL stop $145 GTC (T+1 PDT clear)
- NVDA Harvest trim 3 sh at market — locks ~$291 realized; frees sleeve capacity for TXN/AVGO add
Sleeve-eligible Monday candidates (if NVDA trim creates capacity)
- TXN — score 88; 17 PT hikes + data center +90% = 4-catalyst stack
- AVGO — score 85; Google infrastructure deal + META custom-silicon
General-bucket Monday candidates
- HIMS — BofA PT raise + JPM Initiate Overweight (3rd sell-side event this week)
- LMT — F-35 38→48 jets/yr + Peru F-16 (defense bull reframe)
- CLS — Sovereign AI partnership (new emerging theme)
Bearish watch
- MRK HELD — REGN MFN + JNJ TrumpRx pricing-deal risk; assess position size
- NVDA — Graviton/TPU custom-silicon overhang accumulating
- SOXX 17-day streak — sector mean-reversion risk
- Beat-punished cohort — avoid sectors with thickening cohort
Cron schedule fix verification
- Monday autopilot_morning at NEW 9:27 ET schedule
- mercury_stream_off hour 9 removed (no longer overlaps with mercury_stream_market)
- Should land in clean idle window — no 30-min delivery delays expected